Selection Sunday for the 2022 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament will hit the 50 days away marker on Saturday. With March Madness rapidly approaching, krikya18.com correspondent Andy Katz has updated his projections for the 2022 men's basketball tournament.
Here's how Katz projects the 68-team field to look, through Thursday, Jan. 20.
First, here's the bracket in table form.
March Madness bracket predictions
Seed | WEST | EAST | MIDWEST | SOUTH |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Gonzaga | Kansas | Baylor | Auburn |
16 | UNC Wilmington | Troy | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi/Alcorn State | Colgate/Norfolk State |
8 | Oklahoma | North Carolina | Miami | Texas |
9 | Florida State | San Diego State | Marquette | Davidson |
5 | Providence | Tennessee | Alabama | Ohio State |
12 | Mississippi State | Saint Mary's/Creighton | Chattanooga | Oregon/Texas A&M |
4 | Houston | Michigan State | UCLA | Texas Tech |
13 | Vermont | Ohio | Louisiana Tech | Oakland |
6 | Loyola Chicago | Indiana | Iowa State | UConn |
11 | BYU | Murray State | Iona | Arkansas |
3 | Illinois | Kentucky | LSU | Duke |
14 | Princeton | Wagner | South Dakota State | Liberty |
7 | Seton Hall | Iowa | Xavier | Southern California |
10 | Colorado State | West Virginia | Wake Forest | San Francisco |
2 | Arizona | Villanova | Purdue | Wisconsin |
15 | Seattle | Fullerton | Winthrop | Weber State |
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Let's take a closer look at Katz's bracket.
Gonzaga and Auburn jump to top overall seeds
The 2021 runner-up, Gonzaga, takes the top overall seed in Andy Katz's latest bracket predictions. Gonzaga holds out of conference wins over projected tournament teams Texas, Alcorn State, UCLA and Texas Tech. So far, Gonzaga has dominated its West Coast Conference opponents, reaching the 110 point mark in its first three outings. If the Bulldogs continue their reign of dominance, Gonzaga could get the top overall seed in back-to-back years.
Auburn is currently Gonzaga's biggest challenger for the top overall seed, rising from a four seed and 13th overall to open 2022. The Tigers have one of the best freshmen in the country in Jabari Smith; the potential first-overall NBA Draft pick along with impact transfers has helped Auburn become โ in the eyes of Katz โ the best team in the country. With just one loss to UConn, in double-overtime at that, Auburn could push for the No. 1 overall seed before season's end.
Rounding out the No. 1 seeds in Katz's bracket are two Big 12 teams, Kansas and Baylor.
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Number of bids by conference
Conference | Total Teams | Teams (Automatic Qualifier in bold) |
---|---|---|
SEC | 8 | Auburn, Kentucky, LSU, Tennessee, Alabama, Arkansas, Mississippi State, Texas A&M |
Big Ten | 7 | Purdue, Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan State, Ohio State, Indiana, Iowa |
Big East | 7 | Villanova, Providence, UConn, Xavier, Seton Hall, Marquette, Creighton |
Big 12 | 7 | Baylor, Kansas, Texas Tech, Iowa State, Texas, Oklahoma, West Virginia |
ACC | 5 | Duke, Miami (Fla), North Carolina, Florida State, Wake Forest |
Pac-12 | 4 | Arizona, UCLA, USC, Oregon |
West Coast | 4 | Gonzaga, San Francisco, BYU, Saint Mary's |
Mountain West | 2 | San Diego State, Colorado State |
The SEC leads all conferences with eight teams in the projected tournament field. The Big Ten, Big East and Big 12 follow with seven teams apiece. It's the first time in Andy Katz's bracket predictions this season the the Big Ten has not led all conferences with the most tournament teams.
The ACC, for all of its struggles this season, has one more team than in the last projected bracket, with the Hurricanes and Seminoles joining the party. However, the ACC's struggles are reflected in the conference's seedings; the ACC's first appearance within the overall seeds is the lowest of any conference with multiple teams in the field outside of the Mountain West.
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Teams on the outside looking in
Here are Andy Katz's first four teams out.
First four out
1. Virginia Tech2. Florida
3. Wyoming
4. Michigan
Virginia Tech and Florida are the first two teams out in the latest bracket projections. After alternating wins and losses in December, the Hokies have a chance to boost their tournament resume with two games remaining against both North Carolina and Miami, plus a road matchup against Florida State. Meanwhile, Florida started 2022 with a three-game losing streak, but can prove itself against its tough remaining SEC slate.
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Michigan also sits among the first four teams out, falling from its status as a potential title pick in the preseason after earning a No. 1 seed and advancing to the Elite Eight in 2021. This season, the Wolverines have just one win over a projected tournament team (San Diego State) and sit 2-3 in Big Ten play.
Here are the next teams to miss the cut.
Next four out
5. St. Bonaventure
6. TCU
7. Rutgers
8. UAB
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Andy Katz's field of 68
Here is Katzโs full seed list in order, 1-68:
RANK | SEED | TEAM | CONFERENCE |
---|
1. 1 -- Gonzaga | WCC (AQ) |
2. 1 -- Auburn | SEC (AQ) |
3. 1 -- Baylor | Big 12 |
4. 1 -- Kansas | Big 12 (AQ) |
5. 2 -- Purdue | Big Ten |
6. 2 -- Arizona | Pac-12 (AQ) |
7. 2 -- Villanova | Big East |
8. 2 -- Wisconsin | Big Ten |
9. 3 -- Duke | ACC |
10. 3 -- Kentucky | SEC |
11. 3 -- LSU | SEC |
12. 3 -- Illinois | Big Ten (AQ) |
13. 4 -- UCLA | Pac-12 |
14. 4 -- Texas Tech | Big 12 |
15. 4 -- Michigan State | Big Ten |
16. 4 -- Houston | AAC (AQ) |
17. 5 -- Ohio State | Big Ten |
18. 5 -- Tennessee | SEC |
19. 5 -- Alabama | SEC |
20. 5 -- Providence | Big East (AQ) |
21. 6 -- Iowa State | Big 12 |
22. 6 -- Loyola Chicago | MVC (AQ) |
23. 6 -- UConn | Big East |
24. 6 -- Indiana | Big Ten |
25. 7 -- Xavier | Big East |
26. 7 -- USC | Pac-12 |
27. 7 -- Seton Hall | Big East |
28. 7 -- Iowa | Big Ten |
29. 8 -- Miami (Fla.) | ACC (AQ) |
30. 8 -- Texas | Big 12 |
31. 8 -- Oklahoma | Big 12 |
32. 8 -- North Carolina | ACC |
33. 9 -- Davidson | A10 (AQ) |
34. 9 -- Marquette | Big East |
35. 9 -- San Diego State | MWC (AQ) |
36. 9 -- Florida State | ACC |
37. 10 -- West Virginia | Big 12 |
38. 10 -- San Francisco | WCC |
39. 10 -- Wake Forest | ACC |
40. 10 -- Colorado State | MWC |
41. 11 -- BYU | WCC |
42. 11 -- Arkansas | SEC |
43. 11 -- Murray State | OVC (AQ) |
44. 11 -- Iona | MAAC (AQ) |
45. 12 -- Mississippi State | SEC |
46. 12 -- Saint Mary's | WCC |
47. 12 -- Creighton | Big East |
48. 12 -- Oregon | Pac-12 |
49. 12 -- Texas A&M | SEC |
50. 12 -- Chattanooga | Southern (AQ) |
51. 13 -- Ohio | MAC (AQ) |
52. 13 -- Oakland | Horizon (AQ) |
53. 13 -- Louisiana Tech | Conference USA (AQ) |
54. 13 -- Vermont | America East (AQ) |
55. 14 -- South Dakota State | Summit (AQ) |
56. 14 -- Wagner | NEC (AQ) |
57. 14 -- Liberty | ASun (AQ) |
58. 14 -- Princeton | Ivy (AQ) |
59. 15 -- Seattle | WAC (AQ) |
60. 15 -- Weber State | Big Sky (AQ) |
61. 15 -- Winthrop | Big South (AQ) |
62. 15 -- Fullerton | Big West (AQ) |
63. 16 -- Troy | Sun Belt (AQ) |
64. 16 -- UNC Wilmington | CAA (AQ) |
65. 16 -- Colgate | Patriot (AQ) |
66. 16 -- Norfolk State | MEAC (AQ) |
67. 16 -- Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | Southland (AQ) |
68. 16 -- Alcorn State | SWAC (AQ) |
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