basketball-men-d1 flag

NCAA staff | January 17, 2024

History of 2 seeds vs. 15 seeds in March Madness

Final four minutes of Princeton's upset over Arizona

Princeton became the 11th No. 15 seed to defeat a No. 2 seed when it shocked Arizona, 59-55, in the first round of the 2023 NCAA tournament.

It marked the third year in a row a 15 downed a 2, as Saint Peter's took down Kentucky in 2022 and Oral Roberts upset Ohio State in 2021.

History of 15 seeds vs. 2 seeds in March Madness

Eleven 15 seeds have upset 2 seeds in the NCAA tournament history. Going into 2024, 15 seeds had an 11-141 all-time record against 2s, a 7.24 win percentage.

Here are all of the times it's ever happened.

Year Result Score
1991 Richmond def. Syracuse 73-69
1993 Santa Clara def. Arizona 64-61
1997 Coppin State def. South Carolina 78-65
2001 Hampton def. Iowa State 58-57
2012 Lehigh def. Duke 75-70
2012 Norfolk State def. Missouri 86-84
2013 Florida Gulf Coast def. Georgetown 78-68
2016 Middle Tennessee def. Michigan State 90-81
2021 Oral Roberts def. Ohio State 75-72
2022 Saint Peter's def. Kentucky 85-79
2023 Princeton def. Arizona 59-55

A few more tidbits:

  • Louisiana Monroe and Belmont own the most No. 15 seed appearances, as both the Warhawks and the Bruins have four berths at that slot since tournament expansion.
  • 2012 is the only tournament where two No. 15 seeds won twice. On the same night (Friday), No. 15 Norfolk State topped Missouri and Lehigh stunned Duke.
  • Four No. 15 seeds advanced to the Sweet 16, starting with Florida Gulf Coast in 2013. It also happened three consecutive years with Oral Roberts (2021), Saint Peter's (2022) and Princeton (2023).
  • One 15 seed reached the Elite Eight, as Saint Peter's topped No. 2 Kentucky, No. 7 Murray State and No. 3 Purdue to reach the Elite Eight in 2022.

The most noteworthy times a 15 almost beat a 2

Winthrop vs. Tennessee, 2006

Winthrop, a 15-seed, nearly shocked No. 2 Tennessee in 2006. But then, Chris Lofton happened:

Lofton was only 5 of 14 for the game, but he hit the shot that mattered most.

Belmont vs. Duke, 2008

Belmont led Duke by one with two minutes to play, but the Blue Devils ultimately pulled out the win, 71-70. Gerald Henderson scored 21 points to lead Duke.

Robert Morris vs. Villanova, 2010

It took overtime for Villanova to defeat Robert Morris in 2010. The Wildcats prevailed by a score of 73-70:

Robert Morris led Villanova by six at halftime and held the Wildcats to 22 points in the opening 20 minutes. But Scottie Reynolds put 'Nova on his back, scoring 20 in the game.

Top 6 storylines heading into the 2024-25 men's basketball season

As we head into Week 1 of the 2024-2025 men's college basketball season, here are the top six storylines to look out for.
READ MORE

NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Committee discusses team evaluation process

Leading up to the 2024-2025 season, the NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Committee discusses the team evaluation process.
READ MORE

Andy Katz’s 2024-25 men’s basketball conference champion predictions

See Andy Katz’s picks for 2024 men’s basketball conference champions in a season set for fierce rivalries and breakout stars.
READ MORE